New Jersey Delta Blues

Ali Shajrawi, Liam Brooks Market Research Briefs

New Jersey SRECs have experienced steady pricing pressure since upwards revisions on previously reported monthly installation rates were first announced in July 2016. Uncertainty of build rate revisions and growing concern of large surplus, price trajectory for the most liquid of the forward curve has been largely negative.

Solar Panel Import Tariff Preliminary Analysis

Ali Shajrawi, Jonathan Burnston, Liam Brooks Market Research Briefs

The U.S. International Trade Commission voted 4-0 today to find that imports of cheap solar panels have caused injury to domestic solar manufacturers, setting up a high-stakes tariff decision for President Trump. The case? In April, a bankrupt US-based solar manufacturer filed a petition with the ITC to impose a tariff and floor price on imported crystalline silicon PV solar panels, citing foreign government subsidies (mainly China) as the cause for harm on domestic PV manufacturers.

The Clean Energy Standard

Ali Shajrawi, Liam Brooks Market Research Briefs

On August 11, 2017, Massachusetts regulators filed the proposed final version of CMR 7.75, the Clean Energy Standard (CES), a plan to cut state GHG emissions by 80% of their 1990 levels by 2050. To achieve this aggressive target, the state is going to rely on the procurement of long-term contracts to import hydropower from Canada, as well as the development of more renewable resources, such as wind and solar. Ultimately, however, whether this new mandate can achieve its compliance targets is going to require not only committed project development capital, but also large investments in new transmission lines.

SMART-er Solar Market in Massachusetts?

Ali Shajrawi, Liam Brooks Market Research Briefs

On August 11, 2017, the Massachusetts Department of Energy Resources (DOER) filed a much anticipated final version of the Solar Massachusetts Renewable Target (SMART) Program regulation. This revised SMART framework proposition includes several components that market participants heavily discussed during three public hearings as critical to the success of this program and its objectives.

New York: The Value in the Value Stack?

Ali Shajrawi, David Barry, Greg Owens Market Research Briefs

Solar developers have anxiously awaited the outcome of the New York Reforming the Energy Vision (REV) and the new compensation mechanism for distributed energy resources. Many components of the new market design provide more predictability around the clean energy mandate and market fundamentals. Nevertheless, there are currently several programs that provide different incentive levels, creating a complicated system that may hinder the state’s ability to meet its ambitious “50 by 30” goal, which requires the state to retain its renewable generation and avoid significant exports into adjacent Control Areas.

It’s Not Always Sunny in Pennsylvania?

Ali Shajrawi, Liam Brooks Market Research Briefs

On February 6, 2017, Pennsylvania lawmakers introduced Senate Bill 291 concerning Alternative Energy Portfolio Standard (AEPS) revisions that aimed at promoting and advancing in-state solar energy project development. As introduced, the proposal seeks to jump-start solar development in the state by restricting eligibility under the AEPS to PA-sited only facilities and expanding the solar requirements to stimulate more build. Senate Bill 291 aims to boost the current solar AEPS requirements to 1.5% by 2023 from the current mandate of 0.5% by 2021.

NEPOOL Rounding Third (Quarter)

Ali Shajrawi Market Research Briefs

There has been continued year-on-year supply growth in the NEPOOL Class I REC market across all states and almost all technologies. The following report explores the resulting supply and demand fundamentals and analyzes the pricing trends and legislative impact on this particular market.

Massachusetts Solar Market: A SMART Successor to the SREC Program?

Ali Shajrawi Market Research Briefs

On January 31, 2017, Massachusetts policy makers unveiled a much anticipated, revised solar program that radically transitions solar incentives away from the SREC market and towards a structure akin to a feed-in-tariff regime. Nevertheless under the new program, facilities will still generate Class I RECs that could be used to meet MA Class I compliance obligations.

New Jersey SREC Market Report

Ali Shajrawi Market Research Briefs

A rising tide around the Basic Generation Service (BGS) Auction has been lifting all New Jersey SREC vintages, with prices for the forward three years of the curve (EY2017, EY2018, and EY2019) erasing most of their losses from November’s market-wide sell-off.

Oregon Trailing: New Name, Same Game

Ali Shajrawi, Vickie Pan Market Research Briefs

In this research brief, Karbone discusses the background of Oregon’s RPS and provides an overview of the market prior to S.B. 1547. The report then addresses the implications of the new legislation on demand and supply fundamentals in the Oregon REC market.